Below you can see Stokastic’s NASCAR DFS Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel. If you’re interested in other premium content, head over to Stokastic’s NASCAR Ownership Projections, NASCAR DFS Projections, and Stokastic’s Top Driver Tool, which gives the probability that each driver will end up in a winning DFS lineup. For FREE DraftKings and FanDuel NASCAR DFS content, including FREE DFS Strategy shows, NASCAR DFS cheat sheets and picks, check out our NASCAR home page!
How to Use NASCAR DFS Projections
Update: Projections now give a breakdown for points scored by finishing position + place differential (Placement Points) and laps led + fastest laps (Dominator Points). For FanDuel a lot of points are given to drivers for completing laps, but that’s not useful for DFS because to win you need your drivers to finish the race. I suggest using my version of the projections without those points included for building your fantasy lineups. A full breakdown of scoring categories is listed in the “Detailed” tab.
NASCAR DFS Projections
DraftKings
Name | Projection | Starting Position | DK Salary | DK Value | Odds to Win | Placement Points | Dominator Points | PP/$1k | DP/$1k |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Projection | Starting Position | DK Salary | DK Value | Odds to Win | Placement Points | Dominator Points | PP/$1k | DP/$1k |
Michael McDowell | 14.45 | 1 | 6,700 | 2.16 | 32.21 | 8.36 | 6.48 | 1.25 | 0.97 |
Austin Cindric | 11.19 | 2 | 7,400 | 1.51 | 42.51 | 7.33 | 4.12 | 0.99 | 0.56 |
Todd Gilliland | 5.46 | 3 | 6,100 | 0.90 | 83.64 | 3.47 | 2.14 | 0.57 | 0.35 |
Kyle Busch | 18.76 | 4 | 9,500 | 1.97 | 22.45 | 13.86 | 5.24 | 1.46 | 0.55 |
Austin Dillon | 9.36 | 5 | 7,300 | 1.28 | 64.37 | 7.30 | 2.22 | 1.00 | 0.30 |
Martin Truex Jr | 15.09 | 6 | 8,200 | 1.84 | 37.30 | 12.20 | 3.10 | 1.49 | 0.38 |
Joey Logano | 26.80 | 7 | 9,800 | 2.74 | 13.36 | 20.81 | 6.39 | 2.12 | 0.65 |
Chris Buescher | 19.23 | 8 | 8,500 | 2.26 | 28.89 | 16.10 | 3.35 | 1.89 | 0.39 |
Chase Elliott | 25.90 | 9 | 10,000 | 2.59 | 16.30 | 21.25 | 4.97 | 2.12 | 0.50 |
Christopher Bell | 21.14 | 10 | 8,300 | 2.55 | 28.89 | 18.16 | 3.20 | 2.19 | 0.39 |
Ryan Preece | 11.04 | 11 | 6,400 | 1.73 | 103.72 | 10.05 | 1.08 | 1.57 | 0.17 |
Alex Bowman | 20.73 | 12 | 7,800 | 2.66 | 37.30 | 18.35 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 0.33 |
William Byron | 30.97 | 13 | 10,800 | 2.87 | 14.82 | 25.99 | 5.32 | 2.41 | 0.49 |
Bubba Wallace | 30.77 | 14 | 9,200 | 3.34 | 16.30 | 26.18 | 4.90 | 2.85 | 0.53 |
Ty Gibbs | 25.05 | 15 | 7,500 | 3.34 | 32.21 | 22.38 | 2.86 | 2.98 | 0.38 |
Harrison Burton | 12.14 | 16 | 5,300 | 2.29 | 190.26 | 11.34 | 0.87 | 2.14 | 0.16 |
Shane Van Gisbergen | 15.55 | 17 | 5,500 | 2.83 | 124.49 | 14.69 | 0.93 | 2.67 | 0.17 |
Tyler Reddick | 28.03 | 18 | 8,000 | 3.50 | 32.21 | 25.35 | 2.88 | 3.17 | 0.36 |
Daniel Hemric | 15.50 | 19 | 5,400 | 2.87 | 190.26 | 14.51 | 1.06 | 2.69 | 0.20 |
John H. Nemechek | 18.60 | 20 | 6,000 | 3.10 | 124.49 | 17.75 | 0.93 | 2.96 | 0.15 |
Ryan Blaney | 39.76 | 21 | 11,000 | 3.61 | 13.36 | 34.50 | 5.61 | 3.14 | 0.51 |
Brad Keselowski | 39.99 | 22 | 10,200 | 3.92 | 14.82 | 34.97 | 5.36 | 3.43 | 0.53 |
Denny Hamlin | 40.87 | 23 | 10,500 | 3.89 | 14.82 | 35.92 | 5.29 | 3.42 | 0.50 |
Anthony Alfredo | 13.76 | 24 | 5,200 | 2.65 | 710.27 | 13.34 | 0.46 | 2.56 | 0.09 |
Daniel Suarez | 31.91 | 25 | 7,200 | 4.43 | 46.04 | 29.89 | 2.17 | 4.15 | 0.30 |
Chase Briscoe | 29.79 | 26 | 6,900 | 4.32 | 64.37 | 28.25 | 1.66 | 4.09 | 0.24 |
Justin Haley | 24.80 | 27 | 5,600 | 4.43 | 145.87 | 23.88 | 1.00 | 4.26 | 0.18 |
Erik Jones | 35.57 | 28 | 7,000 | 5.08 | 42.51 | 33.39 | 2.34 | 4.77 | 0.33 |
Josh Berry | 28.51 | 29 | 6,300 | 4.53 | 135.11 | 26.84 | 1.79 | 4.26 | 0.28 |
Zane Smith | 28.43 | 30 | 5,700 | 4.99 | 135.11 | 27.43 | 1.07 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
Corey LaJoie | 37.57 | 31 | 6,600 | 5.69 | 46.04 | 35.62 | 2.11 | 5.40 | 0.32 |
Ross Chastain | 44.08 | 32 | 8,700 | 5.07 | 25.64 | 40.86 | 3.45 | 4.70 | 0.40 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 38.22 | 33 | 7,600 | 5.03 | 55.07 | 36.52 | 1.83 | 4.81 | 0.24 |
Cody Ware | 22.72 | 34 | 5,000 | 4.54 | 1,004.40 | 22.25 | 0.51 | 4.45 | 0.10 |
Carson Hocevar | 32.63 | 35 | 5,800 | 5.63 | 145.87 | 31.87 | 0.82 | 5.50 | 0.14 |
Noah Gragson | 37.74 | 36 | 6,800 | 5.55 | 83.64 | 36.53 | 1.30 | 5.37 | 0.19 |
BJ McLeod | 26.34 | 37 | 5,100 | 5.16 | 1,004.40 | 25.66 | 0.73 | 5.03 | 0.14 |
Kyle Larson | 49.04 | 38 | 9,000 | 5.45 | 25.64 | 45.85 | 3.42 | 5.09 | 0.38 |
FanDuel
Name | Projection | Projection-Laps | Starting Position | FD Salary | FD Value | NoLapsValue | Odds to Win | Placement Points | Dominator Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Projection | Projection-Laps | Starting Position | FD Salary | FD Value | NoLapsValue | Odds to Win | Placement Points | Dominator Points |
Michael McDowell | 32.66 | 16.10 | 1 | 6,000 | 5.44 | 2.68 | 32.21 | 15.03 | 1.07 |
Austin Cindric | 31.24 | 14.65 | 2 | 7,000 | 4.46 | 2.09 | 42.51 | 14.05 | 0.60 |
Todd Gilliland | 27.79 | 11.30 | 3 | 5,500 | 5.05 | 2.06 | 83.64 | 11.05 | 0.26 |
Kyle Busch | 35.72 | 19.11 | 4 | 10,500 | 3.40 | 1.82 | 22.45 | 18.36 | 0.75 |
Austin Dillon | 30.10 | 13.63 | 5 | 6,500 | 4.63 | 2.10 | 64.37 | 13.36 | 0.26 |
Martin Truex Jr | 33.62 | 17.09 | 6 | 8,200 | 4.10 | 2.08 | 37.30 | 16.70 | 0.40 |
Joey Logano | 40.48 | 23.74 | 7 | 11,500 | 3.52 | 2.06 | 13.36 | 22.78 | 0.96 |
Chris Buescher | 36.10 | 19.51 | 8 | 8,500 | 4.25 | 2.30 | 28.89 | 19.07 | 0.44 |
Chase Elliott | 40.04 | 23.33 | 9 | 12,000 | 3.34 | 1.94 | 16.30 | 22.62 | 0.72 |
Christopher Bell | 37.14 | 20.54 | 10 | 9,000 | 4.13 | 2.28 | 28.89 | 20.12 | 0.42 |
Ryan Preece | 30.57 | 14.12 | 11 | 5,200 | 5.88 | 2.72 | 103.72 | 14.02 | 0.10 |
Alex Bowman | 36.69 | 20.11 | 12 | 7,500 | 4.89 | 2.68 | 37.30 | 19.80 | 0.31 |
William Byron | 42.63 | 25.95 | 13 | 14,000 | 3.04 | 1.85 | 14.82 | 25.17 | 0.78 |
Bubba Wallace | 42.44 | 25.77 | 14 | 11,000 | 3.86 | 2.34 | 16.30 | 25.07 | 0.71 |
Ty Gibbs | 39.00 | 22.41 | 15 | 7,800 | 5.00 | 2.87 | 32.21 | 22.05 | 0.36 |
Harrison Burton | 30.29 | 13.94 | 16 | 3,500 | 8.65 | 3.98 | 190.26 | 13.86 | 0.09 |
Shane Van Gisbergen | 32.52 | 16.13 | 17 | 3,500 | 9.29 | 4.61 | 124.49 | 16.05 | 0.08 |
Tyler Reddick | 40.48 | 23.89 | 18 | 8,000 | 5.06 | 2.99 | 32.21 | 23.53 | 0.36 |
Daniel Hemric | 31.95 | 15.60 | 19 | 3,500 | 9.13 | 4.46 | 190.26 | 15.49 | 0.12 |
John H. Nemechek | 34.03 | 17.67 | 20 | 3,800 | 8.95 | 4.65 | 124.49 | 17.59 | 0.08 |
Ryan Blaney | 47.05 | 30.37 | 21 | 13,000 | 3.62 | 2.34 | 13.36 | 29.55 | 0.82 |
Brad Keselowski | 47.14 | 30.43 | 22 | 12,500 | 3.77 | 2.43 | 14.82 | 29.65 | 0.78 |
Denny Hamlin | 47.59 | 30.88 | 23 | 13,500 | 3.53 | 2.29 | 14.82 | 30.12 | 0.77 |
Anthony Alfredo | 29.84 | 13.59 | 24 | 3,000 | 9.95 | 4.53 | 710.27 | 13.55 | 0.04 |
Daniel Suarez | 42.05 | 25.49 | 25 | 7,200 | 5.84 | 3.54 | 46.04 | 25.24 | 0.25 |
Chase Briscoe | 40.50 | 24.02 | 26 | 5,800 | 6.98 | 4.14 | 64.37 | 23.84 | 0.18 |
Justin Haley | 36.95 | 20.56 | 27 | 3,800 | 9.72 | 5.41 | 145.87 | 20.46 | 0.10 |
Erik Jones | 43.93 | 27.38 | 28 | 6,800 | 6.46 | 4.03 | 42.51 | 27.11 | 0.28 |
Josh Berry | 38.84 | 22.40 | 29 | 4,500 | 8.63 | 4.98 | 135.11 | 22.17 | 0.23 |
Zane Smith | 38.87 | 22.47 | 30 | 4,000 | 9.72 | 5.62 | 135.11 | 22.36 | 0.10 |
Corey LaJoie | 44.77 | 28.28 | 31 | 4,800 | 9.33 | 5.89 | 46.04 | 28.04 | 0.24 |
Ross Chastain | 48.65 | 32.08 | 32 | 9,500 | 5.12 | 3.38 | 25.64 | 31.63 | 0.45 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 45.00 | 28.44 | 33 | 6,200 | 7.26 | 4.59 | 55.07 | 28.25 | 0.20 |
Cody Ware | 34.01 | 17.82 | 34 | 3,000 | 11.34 | 5.94 | 1,004.40 | 17.77 | 0.05 |
Carson Hocevar | 40.97 | 24.53 | 35 | 4,200 | 9.76 | 5.84 | 145.87 | 24.46 | 0.07 |
Noah Gragson | 44.19 | 27.72 | 36 | 5,000 | 8.84 | 5.54 | 83.64 | 27.59 | 0.13 |
BJ McLeod | 35.85 | 19.65 | 37 | 3,000 | 11.95 | 6.55 | 1,004.40 | 19.56 | 0.09 |
Kyle Larson | 50.95 | 34.34 | 38 | 10,000 | 5.09 | 3.43 | 25.64 | 33.91 | 0.43 |
Detailed
Name | Avg finish | DKFinishPoints | FDFinishPoints | Place Differential | Fastest Laps | Laps Led |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Avg finish | DKFinishPoints | FDFinishPoints | Place Differential | Fastest Laps | Laps Led |
Michael McDowell | 17.7 | 25.1 | 23.4 | -16.7 | 7.6 | 10.7 |
Austin Cindric | 18.7 | 24.0 | 22.4 | -16.7 | 5.3 | 6.0 |
Todd Gilliland | 21.0 | 21.5 | 20.0 | -18.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
Kyle Busch | 16.5 | 26.4 | 24.6 | -12.5 | 6.7 | 7.5 |
Austin Dillon | 20.1 | 22.4 | 20.9 | -15.1 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
Martin Truex Jr | 18.3 | 24.5 | 22.8 | -12.3 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
Joey Logano | 14.7 | 28.5 | 26.6 | -7.7 | 8.0 | 9.6 |
Chris Buescher | 17.4 | 25.5 | 23.8 | -9.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
Chase Elliott | 15.4 | 27.7 | 25.8 | -6.4 | 6.3 | 7.2 |
Christopher Bell | 17.3 | 25.5 | 23.8 | -7.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 |
Ryan Preece | 21.7 | 20.7 | 19.4 | -10.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Alex Bowman | 18.2 | 24.6 | 22.9 | -6.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
William Byron | 15.1 | 28.1 | 26.2 | -2.1 | 6.8 | 7.8 |
Bubba Wallace | 15.4 | 27.6 | 25.8 | -1.4 | 6.3 | 7.1 |
Ty Gibbs | 17.7 | 25.1 | 23.4 | -2.7 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
Harrison Burton | 23.4 | 18.8 | 17.6 | -7.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Shane Van Gisbergen | 22.3 | 20.0 | 18.7 | -5.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
Tyler Reddick | 17.7 | 25.1 | 23.4 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 3.6 |
Daniel Hemric | 23.4 | 18.9 | 17.7 | -4.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
John H. Nemechek | 22.3 | 20.0 | 18.7 | -2.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
Ryan Blaney | 14.8 | 28.3 | 26.5 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 8.2 |
Brad Keselowski | 15.1 | 28.0 | 26.2 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 7.8 |
Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 28.0 | 26.2 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 7.7 |
Anthony Alfredo | 26.3 | 15.6 | 14.7 | -2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
Daniel Suarez | 18.9 | 23.8 | 22.2 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
Chase Briscoe | 20.1 | 22.4 | 20.9 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Justin Haley | 22.7 | 19.6 | 18.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Erik Jones | 18.7 | 24.0 | 22.4 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
Josh Berry | 22.3 | 20.1 | 18.8 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
Zane Smith | 22.4 | 19.9 | 18.6 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Corey LaJoie | 19.0 | 23.6 | 22.1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
Ross Chastain | 17.0 | 25.9 | 24.1 | 15.0 | 4.6 | 4.5 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 19.5 | 23.1 | 21.5 | 13.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
Cody Ware | 26.8 | 15.1 | 14.2 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Carson Hocevar | 22.7 | 19.6 | 18.3 | 12.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Noah Gragson | 21.0 | 21.5 | 20.1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
BJ McLeod | 26.6 | 15.3 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Kyle Larson | 17.5 | 25.3 | 23.7 | 20.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 |