NASCAR DFS Top Drivers Tool: Picks with Ownership vs. Odds at Top-6

Below you can see Stokastic’s Top Driver Tool, which give the probability that each driver will end up in a winning DFS lineup. If you’re interested in other premium content, head over to Stokastic’s NASCAR DFS Projections and NASCAR DFS Rankings. For FREE DraftKings and FanDuel NASCAR DFS content, including FREE DFS Strategy shows, NASCAR DFS cheat sheets and picks, check out our NASCAR home page!

How to Use the NASCAR DFS Top Drivers Tool

Alex Baker explains why he created the top drivers tool and how to use it.

NASCAR DFS Top Drivers Tool

Legend

DKTop6%/FDTop5% – The projected chance each driver will be one of the 6 and 5 highest scorers on the day.
Top2Dom – The chance that the driver will have the first or second most domination points on DK
Top4PP – The chance a driver will be in the top 4 scorers for finishing points and place differential on DK
Ceiling – The 75th percentile projection for each driver
Floor – The 25th percentile projection for each driver

Note: We’ve discontinued support for Xfinity and Truck series projections. We currently only support NASCAR Cup series.

Last Projections Update: 3 minutes ago

DraftKings

Name	Pos	Salary	Projection	Ownership	Top6%	StdDev	Ceiling	Floor	Ceiling/$	Top4PP%	Top2Dom%
Name	Pos	Salary	Projection	Ownership	Top6%	StdDev	Ceiling	Floor	Ceiling/$	Top4PP%	Top2Dom%
Kyle Busch	1	9,000	49.5		35.6	41.0	71.2	25.2	7.91	0.6	26.8
Ryan Blaney	2	9,600	49.1		33.5	41.2	66.8	26.5	6.95	1.5	21.7
William Byron	3	11,000	57.8		42.3	45.0	79.8	32.4	7.25	3.5	26.3
Tyler Reddick	4	8,200	41.2		25.3	36.6	54.6	22.4	6.66	2.3	13.5
Noah Gragson	5	6,900	22.1		8.2	27.1	35.6	8.2	5.15	0.9	4.0
Denny Hamlin	6	10,800	56.7		41.9	42.7	74.5	33.6	6.89	9.2	21.3
Chase Briscoe	7	7,100	21.4		7.1	25.7	35.0	7.0	4.93	1.4	2.8
Michael McDowell	8	6,600	7.5		1.2	18.3	17.9	-3.1	2.71	0.2	0.5
Alex Bowman	9	9,300	33.0		16.1	29.6	46.5	18.0	4.99	6.3	5.1
AJ Allmendinger	10	5,900	2.0		0.2	13.7	10.0	-6.0	1.69	0.1	0.1
Austin Cindric	11	5,700	18.7		4.6	22.3	30.7	7.0	5.39	2.3	1.1
Josh Berry	12	7,300	28.4		11.5	26.6	41.9	15.0	5.73	6.5	2.9
Joey Logano	13	8,800	31.6		14.1	27.4	45.3	18.0	5.14	8.9	3.3
Daniel Hemric	14	5,200	-4.9		0.0	7.2	0.0	-9.0	0.00	0.0	0.0
Martin Truex Jr	15	11,300	55.4		43.3	37.8	69.5	35.2	6.15	35.1	13.6
Bubba Wallace	16	7,500	26.7		9.0	23.6	39.3	14.0	5.23	7.1	1.6
Ricky Stenhouse Jr	17	6,500	15.0		1.6	16.8	24.5	5.0	3.76	1.4	0.3
Chris Buescher	18	8,000	35.3		17.3	26.8	49.0	21.5	6.12	15.8	3.0
Ty Gibbs	19	8,500	47.9		34.0	32.9	61.5	30.9	7.24	32.1	7.5
Carson Hocevar	20	6,000	27.8		8.6	22.0	39.7	16.0	6.62	8.7	1.0
Kyle Larson	21	11,500	71.8		64.6	42.3	91.5	48.0	7.95	63.7	21.2
Ross Chastain	22	10,200	54.7		44.9	33.8	68.1	37.5	6.68	45.5	9.1
Austin Dillon	23	6,800	20.4		2.8	16.9	30.5	11.0	4.48	3.4	0.2
Brad Keselowski	24	7,700	36.8		17.9	24.3	49.8	24.0	6.47	19.6	1.9
Corey LaJoie	25	5,600	10.1		0.1	9.7	15.0	4.0	2.68	0.1	0.0
Harrison Burton	26	5,100	6.9		0.0	6.9	12.0	3.0	2.35	0.0	0.0
Jimmie Johnson	27	6,200	24.4		3.9	16.7	34.0	15.0	5.48	5.0	0.2
Ryan Preece	28	6,400	25.2		3.9	16.5	35.0	16.0	5.47	5.2	0.2
Chase Elliott	29	9,900	58.8		52.1	32.5	72.3	42.3	7.30	57.0	7.5
Todd Gilliland	30	5,500	22.3		2.4	14.6	30.0	14.0	5.45	3.2	0.1
Daniel Suarez	31	6,700	28.3		5.3	16.6	38.0	19.0	5.67	7.4	0.2
Corey Heim	32	5,800	23.8		1.9	13.6	30.9	16.0	5.33	3.0	0.0
Christopher Bell	33	10,500	52.5		42.4	27.6	66.2	38.5	6.30	49.9	3.5
John H. Nemechek	34	6,100	26.0		2.5	13.7	34.0	18.0	5.57	4.0	0.1
Kaz Grala	35	5,000	12.5		0.0	5.5	17.0	8.0	3.40	0.0	0.0
Justin Haley	36	5,400	13.3		0.0	5.2	18.0	9.0	3.33	0.0	0.0
Zane Smith	37	5,300	21.9		0.4	9.5	27.0	16.0	5.09	0.8	0.0

FanDuel

Name	Position	Salary	Projection	Ownership	Top5%	StdDev	Ceiling	Floor	Ceiling-Laps	C-L/$
Name	Position	Salary	Projection	Ownership	Top5%	StdDev	Ceiling	Floor	Ceiling-Laps	C-L/$
Kyle Busch	1	9,500	67.7		22.6	22.7	79.7	62.5	41.9	4.4
Ryan Blaney	2	10,500	68.9		23.5	22.8	80.0	64.0	42.1	4.0
William Byron	3	12,500	72.5		31.8	23.3	83.8	67.5	45.7	3.7
Tyler Reddick	4	9,000	66.5		17.5	22.4	77.4	62.0	39.6	4.4
Noah Gragson	5	7,000	57.6		5.4	21.2	70.0	53.5	32.8	4.7
Denny Hamlin	6	13,000	73.4		33.2	22.7	83.7	69.0	45.5	3.5
Chase Briscoe	7	6,500	57.3		5.1	20.9	69.5	53.0	32.3	5.0
Michael McDowell	8	6,800	48.7		0.8	18.7	59.5	44.5	22.8	3.4
Alex Bowman	9	8,200	63.9		13.6	21.5	76.5	58.5	38.8	4.7
AJ Allmendinger	10	4,000	44.7		0.2	16.6	53.0	42.5	16.5	4.1
Austin Cindric	11	4,500	55.6		3.8	20.2	67.0	52.0	30.0	6.7
Josh Berry	12	7,200	61.2		9.7	20.8	73.5	55.5	36.0	5.0
Joey Logano	13	7,800	63.0		12.2	21.1	75.5	57.5	38.0	4.9
Daniel Hemric	14	2,000	38.8		0.0	13.3	46.0	38.5	9.9	5.0
Martin Truex Jr	15	13,500	74.4		39.3	22.3	85.1	69.0	47.0	3.5
Bubba Wallace	16	7,500	60.0		8.0	20.4	72.5	56.0	35.3	4.7
Ricky Stenhouse Jr	17	6,000	52.7		1.5	17.5	62.5	49.0	25.5	4.2
Chris Buescher	18	8,000	64.7		15.7	21.1	76.6	60.0	39.2	4.9
Ty Gibbs	19	10,000	71.1		31.1	22.0	83.0	66.5	45.2	4.5
Carson Hocevar	20	5,200	60.3		7.7	19.8	71.5	56.5	34.4	6.6
Kyle Larson	21	14,000	81.5		60.3	22.9	93.0	75.0	54.7	3.9
Ross Chastain	22	12,000	74.5		40.9	22.0	86.0	69.5	48.1	4.0
Austin Dillon	23	4,200	54.9		2.4	18.2	65.5	52.0	28.9	6.9
Brad Keselowski	24	8,500	65.2		15.8	20.5	78.0	61.5	40.7	4.8
Corey LaJoie	25	3,800	47.2		0.1	14.5	54.5	47.0	18.2	4.8
Harrison Burton	26	2,500	44.5		0.0	13.3	52.0	44.5	16.0	6.4
Jimmie Johnson	27	4,800	57.0		3.3	18.0	67.5	54.0	30.8	6.4
Ryan Preece	28	5,800	57.3		3.4	18.0	68.0	54.5	31.3	5.4
Chase Elliott	29	11,000	76.7		47.5	21.7	88.1	71.5	50.3	4.6
Todd Gilliland	30	3,500	54.9		2.0	16.9	64.5	52.5	28.0	8.0
Daniel Suarez	31	6,200	59.0		4.6	18.0	69.5	56.0	32.8	5.3
Corey Heim	32	5,000	55.6		1.6	16.6	64.0	53.5	27.5	5.5
Christopher Bell	33	11,500	73.5		37.7	21.1	85.5	69.0	48.0	4.2
John H. Nemechek	34	5,500	56.7		2.0	16.7	66.5	54.5	30.0	5.5
Kaz Grala	35	2,000	46.3		0.0	12.6	53.5	47.5	17.8	8.9
Justin Haley	36	3,000	46.7		0.0	12.4	54.0	48.0	18.3	6.1
Zane Smith	37	2,500	53.0		0.3	14.6	60.5	53.0	24.3	9.7

Last Projections Update: 3 minutes ago

Author

Alex Baker

Alex is better known to fantasy players by his handle "Awesemo" from seeing him in every big tournament in the industry. Playing poker professionally from 2009-2015, he heard that daily fantasy was the next big game picking up steam, and he quickly saw the potential of the relatively new game. Growing his bankroll from 2015-2016, he made a big step in 2017 by claiming the #1 overall ranking on RotoGrinders for the year. After completing his primary objective, he was looking for what's next. Attending dozens of fantasy events, Alex realized that everyone was repeating the same story: wanting to be a great DFS player while holding down a full-time job. He realized that the resources available to fantasy players while great weren't enough to help hobbyists get to the level of competing with the top pros. Having met Tom Kennedy during the FanDuel Scottish Open, the two decided to take on the realm of fantasy content along with co-founder Eddie Lai. Alex creates his own projections for each sport he plays, publishing rankings derived directly from them updated for each major slate. He also writes strategy content for how to become a better DFS player in his Game Plan series. You can contact Alex by emailing [email protected].